2022 Super Bowl odds, top Bengals vs. Rams prop bets: NFL model picks over 1.5 touchdowns for Joe Burrow

In the 2022 Super Bowl, Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow will face a Rams pass defense that has operated under the “bend but don’t break” mantra all season. Los Angeles ranked 22nd in passing yards allowed, but also gave up the second-fewest passing TDs. There are 2022 Super Bowl prop bets related to Burrow’s yards and touchdowns versus the Rams, as well as his interceptions. Burrow has a 2:2 TD:INT ratio over his last two games after throwing for 13 TDs with no picks over his previous five outings.

How should you evaluate these Burrow props when making your Super Bowl 56 prop bets at places like Caesars Sportsbook? The quarterback threw for over 450 yards and five touchdowns in the National Championship game while at LSU, but not even that compares to the pressure of the Super Bowl 2022. Before making any Super Bowl 56 prop picks, be sure to see the top Joe Burrow props from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Super Bowl 2022 on an incredible 137-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a top-rated pick since Week 14 of the regular season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

With Super Bowl 2022 scheduled for Sunday, Feb. 13, the model has evaluated the latest Joe Burrow props from Caesars Sportsbook and revealed its best bets

Top Joe Burrow prop picks for Rams vs. Bengals

One of the 2022 Super Bowl bets the model recommends: Burrow goes over 1.5 passing touchdowns. Going over is in Burrow’s favor since history is on his side. Over two-thirds of his games this year have seen at least two TDs, as 13 of his 19 contests have featured multiple Burrow touchdown passes. Over the regular season and 2022 NFL playoffs, Burrow has tossed 38 TDs across 19 games, which averages to exactly two per game.

Many quarterbacks have tossed multiple touchdowns against the Rams this year, including the TexansDavis Mills and Jimmy Garoppolo of the 49ers. Those two combined for the same number of passing TDs (38) during the regular and postseason as Burrow had himself.

The model predicts the Rams will shut down the run and hold Cincinnati to under 3.3 yards per attempt. That will force the Bengals to lean more on Burrow’s arm, which increases the chances of him throwing at least two touchdowns. The model has Burrow passing for 1.70 TDs on average, making over 1.5 the profitable play on Sunday.

How to make 2022 Super Bowl prop bets for Bengals vs. Rams

In addition, the model is high on a Burrow prop bet that has a plus-money payout. You need to see the model’s top Super Bowl prop bets before making any Rams vs. Bengals picks.

Which Joe Burrow prop has a plus-money payout? And what other Burrow prop bets does the model love for Super Bowl 56? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Super Bowl 56 prop bets, all from the model that’s up over $7,500 on top-rated NFL picks.

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