Buffalo Bills’ Christmas Playoff Hopes: What Fans Need to Know

The Buffalo Bills had a great day just before Christmas Eve by defeating the Chargers 24-22. This victory helped them climb into a temporary playoff spot in the AFC, taking advantage of the Bengals’ loss to the Steelers.

Now, the Bills control their destiny: win the next two games and they’re in the playoffs.

Week 16 games are crucial for the Bills. They can solidify their place in the Wild Card spot and possibly get closer to competing for the AFC East title.

Let’s break down where the Bills stand:

  • Record: 9-6 (Rank: 9th in AFC)
  • Chances of making playoffs: 80%
  • Chances of winning the division: 40%

The AFC Playoff Picture entering Week 16 looks like this:

  1. Baltimore Ravens (11-3)
  2. Miami Dolphins (10-4)
  3. Kansas City Chiefs (9-5)
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6)
  5. Cleveland Browns (9-5)
  6. Buffalo Bills (9-6)
  7. Indianapolis Colts (8-6)

Games to Watch and Root For:

  • Browns (9-5) vs. Texans (8-6) on Dec. 24: Root for the Browns as a Texans loss can boost the Bills’ playoff chances to 85%.
  • Colts (8-6) vs. Falcons (6-8) on Dec. 24: Root for the Falcons; a Colts loss could increase Buffalo’s playoff odds to 84%.
  • Cowboys (10-4) vs. Dolphins (10-4) on Dec. 24: Root for the Cowboys; a Dolphins loss could up Buffalo’s playoff chances to 85% and their division win odds to 50%.

Other Factors:

  • Patriots (3-11) vs. Broncos (7-7) on Dec. 24: Root for the Patriots; a Broncos loss could increase Bills’ playoff chances to 88%.

Seeding Matters: Root for the Bucs and the Raiders to win against the Jags and Chiefs, respectively. If the Bills win their division and tie records with the Chiefs, it’d help their seeding.

Outcomes: Worst case: If Texans, Colts, Dolphins, and Broncos win, Bills’ chances drop to 69%. Best case: If Texans, Colts, Dolphins, and Broncos lose, Bills’ chances rise to 90%.

The focus remains on winning and having other teams’ outcomes fall favorably for Buffalo to secure their spot in the playoffs.

Bills’ Playoff Chances Update Before Christmas

The Buffalo Bills won against the Chargers, making their holiday season brighter. They’ve moved up in the AFC standings because the Bengals lost to the Steelers.

If the Bills win their next two games, they’re in the playoffs.

In Week 16, the Bills need to keep winning. They’re currently 9-6 and have an 80% chance to reach the playoffs.

Other teams are also fighting for playoff spots, like the Browns, Texans, Colts, and Dolphins. If these teams win or lose, it affects the Bills’ chances.

For example:

  • Bills fans should root for the Browns against the Texans. If the Texans lose, it’s good for the Bills.
  • A loss for the Colts against the Falcons would also help the Bills’ playoff odds.
  • The Bills also need the Dolphins to lose against the Cowboys for a better chance at winning their division.

It’s not just about winning for the Bills; they need certain teams to lose to improve their playoff chances.

Where the Bills stand

Record: 9-6 (9th in AFC)

Chance of reaching playoffs: 80%

Chance of winning the division: 40%

AFC Playoff Picture entering Week 16

  1. Baltimore Ravens (11-3)
  2. Miami Dolphins (10-4)
  3. Kansas City Chiefs (9-5)
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6)
  5. Cleveland Browns (9-5)
  6. Buffalo Bills (9-6)
  7. Indianapolis Colts (8-6)

In the Hunt

  1. Houston Texans (8-6)
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-7)
  3. Cincinnati Bengals (8-7)
  4. Denver Broncos (7-7)

NFL Wild Card tiebreaker rules:

  • Head-to-head, if applicable.
  • Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
  • Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
  • Strength of victory in all games.

Summary:

The Buffalo Bills are at 9-6, ranking 9th in the AFC. They have an 80% chance of making it to the playoffs and a 40% chance of winning their division. This snapshot gives a quick view of where the Bills stand in their quest for a postseason spot and divisional success.